Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.545210 1.779388 2.036951 2.341253 2.690997 3.080457 3.547187
2025-05-18 1.163872 1.456456 1.805501 2.252624 2.810430 3.483797 4.359225
2025-05-25 0.890627 1.197219 1.589467 2.128177 2.849389 3.782632 5.084059
2025-06-01 0.734477 1.051842 1.483759 2.114650 3.013670 4.250660 6.086079
2025-06-08 0.607565 0.920888 1.371585 2.067295 3.115717 4.639847 7.030662
2025-06-15 0.550810 0.878927 1.375188 2.180573 3.457393 5.408410 8.627138
2025-06-22 0.489507 0.818798 1.340258 2.226284 3.697734 6.051180 10.117460
2025-06-29 0.427360 0.746696 1.274345 2.209777 3.831476 6.537078 11.416015
2025-07-06 0.361172 0.657241 1.166222 2.105023 3.799111 6.738973 12.256089
2025-07-13 0.335745 0.634747 1.168253 2.189581 4.103255 7.549192 14.262856
2025-07-20 0.316427 0.620202 1.181610 2.294808 4.456104 8.486192 16.620874
2025-07-27 0.291852 0.591981 1.165474 2.341264 4.702492 9.253820 18.754871
2025-08-03 0.265682 0.558083 1.136164 2.362464 4.911479 9.993831 20.973967
2025-08-10 0.233571 0.507561 1.067427 2.295020 4.933446 10.369490 22.511411
2025-08-17 0.201535 0.452488 0.981846 2.180108 4.839727 10.495255 23.539109
2025-08-24 0.183065 0.424191 0.948672 2.172976 4.976164 11.121513 25.740914
2025-08-31 0.163891 0.391521 0.901550 2.128054 5.021913 11.555751 27.571794
2025-09-07 0.158659 0.390365 0.924631 2.246902 5.458662 12.919821 31.746307
2025-09-14 0.148998 0.377226 0.918306 2.295302 5.735502 13.951095 35.271480
2025-09-21 0.136336 0.354884 0.887184 2.279015 5.852647 14.618744 37.996475
2025-09-28 0.119976 0.320845 0.823090 2.171376 5.726474 14.677395 39.189465
2025-10-05 0.115530 0.317172 0.834375 2.258832 6.113131 16.066411 44.035434
2025-10-12 0.112309 0.316317 0.852756 2.367525 6.570741 17.696364 49.755296